NBN Interview with Joshua Greenberg: Bank Notes and Shinplasters

What is money? Really, what is money? It turns out that the answer is not so simple. During the course of the 20th century, most of us have gotten used to the notion of a single medium of exchange based on Federal Reserve notes which we call dollars. They look the same, feel the same, and have the same use everywhere in the country. We are so comfortable with that medium of exchange that we are now increasingly doing away with the paper and accepting a digital version of said money. The convenience of having a single and stable currency …

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May you live in interesting times….

The stock of an upstart but very successful EV company is currently trading at 144 times the average of 2020, 2021, and 2022 forecast consensus earnings. That’s an earnings yield of 0.7%. In contrast, an older telecommunications company that has focused in recent years on its “network” is trading at 12 times the average of forward earnings. Its earnings yield on forward consensus earnings is 8.3%.  Few if any investors are doing the math of cashflows and discount rates when considering the former company, but it is still permissible and interesting to think about such things. Maybe theories of value …

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Heretical views!

Managing a portfolio based on cashflows? Heresy! Well, maybe not. Others are also making arguments similar to mine in Getting Back to Business. See Jim Garland’s 2019 CFA Institute Research Foundation Brief, introduced by Laurence Siegel. Thanks to Will Goetzmann for the link here .      

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Random Book Project #3: The Sinews of American Commerce (1941)

#3: Roy A. Foulke, The Sinews of American Commerce (New York: Dun & Bradstreet, Inc., 1941). No price. How did I get it: The book was recently given to me as a housegift by someone who knows that my proclivities run in this direction. Why: The book is classic deaccessioning material. It is a commissioned history to celebrate the 100th anniversary of Dun & Bradstreet, a business information and credit research founded in 1841. Published in August 1941, just before the outbreak of direct US involvement in World War II, the book is a testament to a muscular, unapologetic capitalism …

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Barron’s conversation about dividend investing

A conversation with Barron’s Lawrence Strauss and Lauren Rublin on dividend investing in the current economic and financial climate.  The replay should be “free” but you may have to register with Barron’s to hear it. https://tinyurl.com/ya5apobb Note: The views expressed here are those of the author alone, and do not necessarily reflect the views of his employer. Nothing written here should be construed as investment advice. Consult your investment advisor for specific recommendations. 

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Another battle in the neverending war between clarity and confusion….

A recent opinion piece in the Wall Street Journal starts off with a promising title, “Why Many People Misunderstand Dividends, and the Damage This Does.” June 7, 2020 . That is most certainly true. After nearly two decades helping to manage dividend portfolios, I can say that even institutional investors and pension fund consultants still seem to trip over the basic math of dividend investing. Unfortunately the newspaper article only adds to the confusion when the author, an academic, asserts that “Paying dividends doesn’t benefit investors, because a dividend of $1 simply reduces the stock price by $1—just as withdrawing from …

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New York Times column on dividend investing.

A recent column by Jeff Sommer in The New York Times (https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/24/business/coronavirus-stocks-investing-dividends.html) highlights some of the challenges faced today by investors seeking income from their stock holdings. While the economic shutdown has certainly created an adverse environment for the public-company cashflows that have historically been paid out in dividends, income-seeking investors will want to consider a few additional perspectives beyond what is raised in the Times. First, Sommer implies that because stock ownership has shifted from individuals a century or half century ago, to mutual funds, pension portfolios, and other institutional accounts now, that dividends are somehow less felt on …

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